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Neighborhood · Portland, ME

Bayside Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,326 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.6/10 · range 7.6–7.6

Bayside is a one-tract neighborhood of Portland, ME, population 3,326. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.6/10, in the Elevated tier. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 2.1/10. The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 36% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, higher than the Portland rate of 30.6%.

11% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation is 24.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,431, 9% below the Portland average of $1,577.

That places it #1 of 15 neighborhoods in Portland. For a like-for-like read, Riverton and Arts District score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $53,948.

One tract means one number: 7.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bayside vs Portland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.4% +19%
Portland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$1,431 -9%
Portland: $1,577
Average HH income
$53,948 -29%
Portland: $76,174
Poverty rate
25.9% +130%
Portland: 11.3%
Renter share
83.2% +57%
Portland: 53.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayside and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.6–7.6

Why Bayside scores 7.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
83% renter households · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
25.9% below poverty line · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts
2.1
Risk score comparison

Bayside vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bayside score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.6BaysideNeighborhood6.2Parent cityhost city4.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bayside

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
23005000600 7.6 3,326 36% $1,431
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 78

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 52%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 84%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bayside

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bayside

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bayside?

Bayside scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bayside compare to Portland overall?

Bayside scores 1.4 points higher than Portland overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,431 vs $1,577.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bayside?

Average gross rent in Bayside is $1,431/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bayside residents are renters?

83% of Bayside households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Portland). The neighborhood has 3,326 residents.
Q5

Is Bayside a high social-vulnerability area?

Bayside sits in the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bayside for landlords?

Bayside carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Portland as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bayside?

Bayside has 3,688 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.4%), Other / Multiracial (6.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bayside

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Portland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bayside.

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