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Neighborhood · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

South Portland Gardens Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 23005003002 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 3,371 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Eviction risk in the South Portland Gardens area of South Portland centers on tract 23005003002, which scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,371 residents. On the national scale it ranks #42,375 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 63% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,718 a month against an average household income of $68,011 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 99% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 63% Stable renters 36% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,496
Renter share98.9%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$68,011

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In South Portland Gardens
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In South Portland
High
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#30 of 80 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#239 of 401 tracts In Maine
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Portland and the region

Centroid at 43.6403, -70.3282 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Portland Gardens scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Portland
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,718 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Portland
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Portland
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Portland
5.2

How South Portland Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Portland Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 003002South Portland: 4.84.8South Portlandparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Portland Gardens

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from South Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 4.5 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 23005003002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005003002?

Census tract 23005003002 in the South Portland Gardens neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23005003002?

Median gross rent is $1,718/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23005003002?

9.4% of residents in tract 23005003002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,371.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23005003002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 35th, minority 77th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 23005003002 considered part of South Portland Gardens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005003002 fall within South Portland Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23005003002 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23005003002 compare to South Portland overall?

Tract 23005003002 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of South Portland at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Portland

Top eight tracts in South Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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