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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,812 of 84,120 nationally

South Portland Gardens Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 23005003002 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 3,371 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 23005003002 covers part of the South Portland Gardens area of South Portland, ME, and scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,371 residents. 63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Cumberland County average of 38.5%.

Risk score
6.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 63% Stable renters 36% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,496
Renter share98.9%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$68,011

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In South Portland Gardens
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In South Portland
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 80 tracts In Cumberland County
High
Within state
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 401 tracts In Maine
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across South Portland and the region

Centroid at 43.6403, -70.3282 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Portland Gardens scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from South Portland
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,718 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Portland
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Portland
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Portland
5.2

How South Portland Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Portland Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.8This tracttract 0030025.9South Portlandparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county4.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Portland Gardens

This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 22%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against the Cumberland County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.8/10. Nationally it ranks #13,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.3 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,718, close to the South Portland average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $68,011.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 23005003002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005003002?

Census tract 23005003002 in the South Portland Gardens neighborhood scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 23005003002?

Median gross rent is $1,718/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 23005003002?

9.4% of residents in tract 23005003002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,371.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 23005003002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 35th, minority 77th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 23005003002 considered part of South Portland Gardens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005003002 fall within South Portland Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 23005003002 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 23005003002 compare to South Portland overall?

Tract 23005003002 scores 6.8/10, higher than the parent city of South Portland at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in South Portland

Top eight tracts in South Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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