Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Paines Corner Eviction Risk: Lower , Winslow
Tract 23011023002 · Kennebec County, ME · pop 3,840 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 23011023002 covers part of the Paines Corner area of Winslow, ME, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,840. 17% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Kennebec County average of 37.6%.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,645
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate7.7%
Median income$79,677
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
26
th percentile
Low
Within state
14
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winslow and the region
Centroid at 44.5211, -69.5683 · click any tract to drill in
Why Paines Corner scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winslow
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
7.7% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,456 rent vs county FMR
7.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winslow
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winslow
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winslow
4.2
How Paines Corner compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 11.2%SNAP enrollment
- 6.7%Transit barriers
- 6.8%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 31.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Paines Corner
Average gross rent is $1,456, 41% above the Winslow average. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.9/10. The voucher gap is 25.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.6/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.1 points below the Kennebec County average of 4.3. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 8.9% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 23011023002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23011023002?
Census tract 23011023002 in the Paines Corner neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23011023002?
Median gross rent is $1,456/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23011023002?
7.7% of residents in tract 23011023002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,840.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23011023002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 45th, minority 7th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 23011023002 considered part of Paines Corner?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23011023002 fall within Paines Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23011023002 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23011023002 compare to Winslow overall?
Tract 23011023002 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Winslow at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winslow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winslow
Top eight tracts in Winslow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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