Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

Timber Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Annapolis

Tract 24003706404 · Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 2,433 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 7.1/10, tract 24003706404 in the Timber Creek area of Annapolis, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,433. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

7.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 25% Owners 55%

Tract context

Occupied units1,064

Renter share44.6%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate5.2%

Median income$74,073

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Annapolis and the region

Centroid at 38.9559, -76.4973 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timber Creek scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Annapolis

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

5.2% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$1,759 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Annapolis

6.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Annapolis

8.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Annapolis

5.1

How Timber Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

81%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
79%Racial/ethnic minority
40%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.2%Housing insecurity
10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
23.1%Food insecurity
16.2%SNAP enrollment
10.6%Transit barriers
19.1%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
31.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timber Creek

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.9/10. Against the Anne Arundel County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.1% against 11.3% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24003706404

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003706404?

Census tract 24003706404 in the Timber Creek neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24003706404?

Median gross rent is $1,759/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24003706404?

5.2% of residents in tract 24003706404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,433.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24003706404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 78th, minority 79th, housing 40th.

Is tract 24003706404 considered part of Timber Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003706404 fall within Timber Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24003706404 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24003706404 compare to Annapolis overall?

Tract 24003706404 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Annapolis at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Annapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Annapolis

Top eight tracts in Annapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.