Pine Whiff Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Edgewater

The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 56.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.9/10. At $3,082 a month, rents run 40% over what the rest of Edgewater commands.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $112,364 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Anne Arundel County average of 44.5%.

SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.