Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
The Downs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Parole
Tract 24003702702 · Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 3,825 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
24003702702 is a census tract in the The Downs area of Parole, MD. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Cost burden runs 66% here against 44.5% across Anne Arundel County.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,526
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$202,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Parole and the region
Centroid at 39.0170, -76.5514 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Downs scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Parole
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Parole
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Parole
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Parole
4.3
How The Downs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.3%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 10.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Downs
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.9/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.7% against 11.3% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Anne Arundel County average of 5.1 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24003702702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003702702?
Census tract 24003702702 in the The Downs neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 24003702702?
6.9% of residents in tract 24003702702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,825.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 24003702702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 13th, minority 17th, housing 29th.
Q4
Is tract 24003702702 considered part of The Downs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003702702 fall within The Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 24003702702 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24003702702 compare to Parole overall?
Tract 24003702702 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Parole at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Parole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Parole
Top eight tracts in Parole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related