Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally
The Downs Eviction Risk: Lower , Parole
Tract 24003702702 · Anne Arundel County, MD · pop 3,825 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 24003702702 covers the The Downs area of Parole, home to 3,825 residents. For landlords it grades 6.7/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than about 90% of US census tracts.
66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $202,500 a year. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,526
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$202,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Parole and the region
Centroid at 39.0170, -76.5514 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Downs scores 1.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Parole
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Parole
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Parole
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Parole
4.3
How The Downs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.3%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 10.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Downs
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Parole, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Anne Arundel County average of 6.4 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 4.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24003702702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24003702702?
Census tract 24003702702 in the The Downs neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 24003702702?
6.9% of residents in tract 24003702702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,825.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 24003702702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 13th, minority 17th, housing 29th.
Q4
Is tract 24003702702 considered part of The Downs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24003702702 fall within The Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 24003702702 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24003702702 compare to Parole overall?
Tract 24003702702 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Parole at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Parole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Parole
Top eight tracts in Parole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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