1 census tracts · pop 3,825 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.6/10
· range 5.6–5.6
The Downs maps to a single census tract in Parole, MD and houses 3,825 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.6/10, in the Moderate tier. 66% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Parole rate of 28.5%.
The severe-burden share is 24%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.7/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10.
3.2% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. 3.7% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #3 of 4 neighborhoods in Parole.
At 13% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Whiskey Bottom and Lindamoor on the Severn. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Downs vs ParoleHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority17%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Downs
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
4.7%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility shutoff threat
5.2%Food insecurity
3.5%SNAP enrollment
3.7%No health insurance
25.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Downs
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Downs?
The Downs scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Downs compare to Parole overall?
The Downs scores 0.3 points lower than Parole overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 29% citywide.
Q3
What percentage of The Downs residents are renters?
13% of The Downs households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Parole). The neighborhood has 3,825 residents.
Q4
Is The Downs a high social-vulnerability area?
The Downs sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q5
How safe is The Downs for landlords?
The Downs carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Parole as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q6
What is the demographic breakdown of The Downs?
The Downs has 3,740 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.7%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
