Neighborhood · Parole, MD

The Downs Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,825 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.8/10 · range 1.8–1.8

The Downs is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Parole with 1 census tract and a population of 3,825 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 66% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 24% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income).

Risk score

1.8

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

The Downs vs Parole How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

66.3% +133%

Parole: 28.5%

Average gross rent

$0 -100%

Parole: $2,306

Average HH income

$202,500 +69%

Parole: $119,591

Poverty rate

6.9% +33%

Parole: 5.2%

Renter share

12.5% -65%

Parole: 35.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across The Downs and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.8–1.8

Why The Downs scores 1.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Rent control risk

66% of income on rent · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

13% renter households · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts

7.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Economic stress

6.9% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Risk score comparison

The Downs vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in The Downs

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24003702702	1.8	3,825	66%	—

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 6%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 14%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 17%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 30%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Downs

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

4.7%Housing insecurity
3.2%Utility shutoff threat
5.2%Food insecurity
3.5%SNAP enrollment
3.7%No health insurance
25.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About The Downs

What is the eviction-risk score for The Downs?

The Downs scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does The Downs compare to Parole overall?

The Downs scores 3.9 points lower than Parole overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 29% citywide.

What percentage of The Downs residents are renters?

13% of The Downs households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Parole). The neighborhood has 3,825 residents.

Is The Downs a high social-vulnerability area?

The Downs sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is The Downs for landlords?

The Downs carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Parole as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of The Downs?

The Downs has 3,740 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (87.7%), Other / Multiracial (4.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (3.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near The Downs

3.7 Bay View Heights 2 tracts · pop 4,155 2.4 Atlantis 2 tracts · pop 9,096 2 Watson's Glen 2 tracts · pop 12,184 2 Turf Valley 3 tracts · pop 11,602 1.9 Aspen Park 2 tracts · pop 8,907 1.5 Highmeadow Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,508

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Parole

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to The Downs.

1.8 Whiskey Bottom 1 tracts · pop 7,791 1.5 Lindamoor on the Severn 1 tracts · pop 2,678 2.2 Loretta Heights 1 tracts · pop 2,616

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