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Neighborhood · Severn, MD

Willowbend Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 14,783 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.4/10 · range 5.2–5.5

Willowbend spans 2 census tracts of Severn, MD and houses 14,783 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.4/10, in the Moderate tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1/10.

Against a Severn baseline of 28.4%, 38% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The voucher gap is 19.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

At $2,345 a month, rents sit 8% over what the rest of Severn commands. At 22% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Its 2 tracts score within 0.3 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $129,846.

With little internal variation, 5.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Willowbend vs Severn How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.7% +33%
Severn: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$2,345 +8%
Severn: $2,175
Average HH income
$129,846 -1%
Severn: $130,627
Poverty rate
2.7% -53%
Severn: 5.7%
Renter share
21.7% -25%
Severn: 29.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Willowbend and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2–5.5

Why Willowbend scores 5.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
22% renter households · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
2.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.5–7.2 across tracts
6.9
Risk score comparison

Willowbend vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Willowbend score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.4WillowbendNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Willowbend

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24003740103 5.5 8,912 33% $2,399
24003740108 5.2 5,871 44% $2,263
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 23

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 17%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Willowbend

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Willowbend

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Willowbend?

Willowbend scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Willowbend compare to Severn overall?

Willowbend scores 0.5 points lower than Severn overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,345 vs $2,175.
Q3

What is the average rent in Willowbend?

Average gross rent in Willowbend is $2,345/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Willowbend residents are renters?

22% of Willowbend households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Severn). The neighborhood has 14,783 residents.
Q5

Is Willowbend a high social-vulnerability area?

Willowbend sits in the 23rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Willowbend have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Willowbend is census tract 24003740103 (score 5.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 5.5, a spread of 0.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Willowbend for landlords?

Willowbend carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Severn as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Willowbend?

Willowbend has 15,521 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (31.1%), Hispanic / Latino (12.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Willowbend

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Severn

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Willowbend.

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