Neighborhood · Fort Meade, MD

Provinces Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 12,273 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.3/10 · range 2–3.1

Provinces is a black-white neighborhood in Fort Meade with 2 census tracts and a population of 12,273 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.3/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 30% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,255/month sits 7% lower than the Fort Meade citywide average ($2,435).

Risk score

2.3

Lower

2 tracts · population-weighted

Provinces vs Fort Meade How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

29.9% +1%

Fort Meade: 29.6%

Average gross rent

$2,255 -7%

Fort Meade: $2,435

Average HH income

$124,326 +21%

Fort Meade: $102,886

Poverty rate

8.4% +88%

Fort Meade: 4.5%

Renter share

47.1% -53%

Fort Meade: 100.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Provinces and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2–3.1

Why Provinces scores 2.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.2–8.9 across tracts

8.1

Rent control risk

30% of income on rent · Range 5.6–6.3 across tracts

5.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.1–5.2 across tracts

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

47% renter households · Range 6.1–9.9 across tracts

7.2

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.6 across tracts

4.5

Economic stress

8.4% below poverty line · Range 1.6–2.3 across tracts

2.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.3–6.9 across tracts

6.5

Risk score comparison

Provinces vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Provinces

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24003740602	3.1	3,424	37%	$2,342
24003740104	2	8,849	27%	$2,221

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 47%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 15%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Provinces

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

14.5%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
15.5%Food insecurity
11.6%SNAP enrollment
7.7%No health insurance
24.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Provinces

What is the eviction-risk score for Provinces?

Provinces scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Provinces compare to Fort Meade overall?

Provinces scores 3.5 points lower than Fort Meade overall (5.8/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,255 vs $2,435.

What is the average rent in Provinces?

Average gross rent in Provinces is $2,255/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Provinces residents are renters?

47% of Provinces households are renter-occupied (vs 100% in Fort Meade). The neighborhood has 12,273 residents.

Is Provinces a high social-vulnerability area?

Provinces sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Provinces have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Provinces is census tract 24003740602 (score 3.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2 to 3.1, a spread of 1.1 points.

How safe is Provinces for landlords?

Provinces carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fort Meade as a whole (5.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Provinces?

Provinces has 12,044 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (38.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.1%), Hispanic / Latino (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Provinces

1.6 Willowbend 2 tracts · pop 14,783 1.5 Highmeadow Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,508 3.9 Pines of Laurel 3 tracts · pop 18,345 4 Rol Park Village 7 tracts · pop 16,801 3.8 Glendale Terrace 3 tracts · pop 9,970 3.8 Timberline 2 tracts · pop 6,745

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fort Meade

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Provinces.

2.9 Argonne Hills 1 tracts · pop 5,962

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