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Neighborhood · Fort Meade, MD

Provinces Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 12,273 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 5.2–6

Provinces spans 2 census tracts of Fort Meade, MD and houses 12,273 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.8/10, in the Moderate tier. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.1/10. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 30% of renter households.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.2/10. The voucher gap is 14.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. At $2,255 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Fort Meade commands.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.8 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $124,326.

47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Provinces vs Fort Meade How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
29.9% +1%
Fort Meade: 29.6%
Average gross rent
$2,255 -7%
Fort Meade: $2,435
Average HH income
$124,326 +21%
Fort Meade: $102,886
Poverty rate
8.4% +88%
Fort Meade: 4.5%
Renter share
47.1% -53%
Fort Meade: 100.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Provinces and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.2–6

Why Provinces scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–8.9 across tracts
8.1
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 5.6–6.3 across tracts
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.1–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
47% renter households · Range 6.1–9.9 across tracts
7.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.6 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
8.4% below poverty line · Range 1.6–2.3 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.3–6.9 across tracts
6.5
Risk score comparison

Provinces vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Provinces score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.8ProvincesNeighborhood5.1Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Provinces

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24003740104 6 8,849 27% $2,221
24003740602 5.2 3,424 37% $2,342
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 32

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 15%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Provinces

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Provinces

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Provinces?

Provinces scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Provinces compare to Fort Meade overall?

Provinces scores 0.7 points higher than Fort Meade overall (5.1/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,255 vs $2,435.
Q3

What is the average rent in Provinces?

Average gross rent in Provinces is $2,255/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Provinces residents are renters?

47% of Provinces households are renter-occupied (vs 100% in Fort Meade). The neighborhood has 12,273 residents.
Q5

Is Provinces a high social-vulnerability area?

Provinces sits in the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Provinces have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Provinces is census tract 24003740104 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.2 to 6, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Provinces for landlords?

Provinces carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fort Meade as a whole (5.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Provinces?

Provinces has 12,044 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (38.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (28.1%), Hispanic / Latino (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Provinces

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fort Meade

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Provinces.

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