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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

East Arlington Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510151100 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 6,350 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 24510151100 sits in the East Arlington area of Baltimore eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7/10. Population here is 6,350. The severe-burden share is 57%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 6% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units2,792
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate18.9%
Median income$53,430

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In East Arlington
Moderate
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#96 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Moderate
Within county
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#99 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Moderate
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#302 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3304, -76.6723 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Arlington scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
18.9% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,165 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How East Arlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Arlington risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.0This tracttract 1511006.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Arlington

Cost burden runs 71% here against 50.2% across Baltimore City. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. SNAP participation runs 26.7% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 27.3% against 17.8% nationally.

The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,165, 12% below the Baltimore average.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 85% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510151100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510151100?

Census tract 24510151100 in the East Arlington neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510151100?

Median gross rent is $1,165/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510151100?

18.9% of residents in tract 24510151100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,350.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510151100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 40th, minority 97th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 24510151100 considered part of East Arlington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510151100 fall within East Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510151100 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510151100 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510151100 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510151100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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