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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Johnston Square Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore

Tract 24510100100 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,541 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

24510100100 is a census tract in the Johnston Square area of Baltimore, MD. It scores 8/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,541 residents. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 30% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units705
Renter share60.9%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate28.9%
Median income$22,552

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Johnston Square
Moderate
Within parent city
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3032, -76.6047 · click any tract to drill in

Why Johnston Square scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
28.9% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$375 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Johnston Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Johnston Square risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 1001006.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Johnston Square

At $375 a month, rents run 72% under what the rest of Baltimore commands. Food insecurity runs 40.6% against 17.8% nationally.

29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.8/10.

The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Disability prevalence runs 43.6% against 31.5% nationally.

It sits 1.2 points above the Baltimore City average of 6.8. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.5 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510100100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510100100?

Census tract 24510100100 in the Johnston Square neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510100100?

Median gross rent is $375/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510100100?

28.9% of residents in tract 24510100100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,541.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510100100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 24th, minority 96th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 24510100100 considered part of Johnston Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510100100 fall within Johnston Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510100100 struggle to pay rent?

About 31.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510100100 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510100100 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510100100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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