Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
Harlem Park Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore
Tract 24510160300 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,695 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 24510160300 sits in the Harlem Park area of Baltimore eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. It is home to 1,695 residents. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 60%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units571
Renter share79.0%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate27.6%
Median income$21,853
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.2986, -76.6444 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harlem Park scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
27.6% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$880 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Harlem Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 3%Grade C
- 97%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Harlem Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 33.7%Housing insecurity
- 24.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.8%Food insecurity
- 49.7%SNAP enrollment
- 21.7%Transit barriers
- 14.9%No health insurance
- 20.8%Frequent mental distress
- 49.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Harlem Park
Against Baltimore City at 50.2%, about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. Annualized rent equals 48% of average household income of $21,853, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. At $880 a month, rents run 34% under what the rest of Baltimore commands. This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Disability prevalence runs 49.1% against 31.5% nationally. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510160300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510160300?
Census tract 24510160300 in the Harlem Park neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510160300?
Median gross rent is $880/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510160300?
27.6% of residents in tract 24510160300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,695.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510160300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 99th, minority 95th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 24510160300 considered part of Harlem Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510160300 fall within Harlem Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510160300 struggle to pay rent?
About 33.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510160300 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510160300 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510160300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 97% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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