Mount Vernon Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 87% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $52,214 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. Against Baltimore City at 50.2%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,491, 12% above the Baltimore average.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Baltimore City average of 6.8 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.