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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Oaklee Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arbutus

Tract 24005430900 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 4,475 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

In the Oaklee neighborhood of Arbutus, census tract 24005430900 scores 6.5/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #10,875 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,133 monthly, set against $67,727 in average yearly household income, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 57% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 36% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,856
Renter share57.2%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate15.8%
Median income$67,727

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Oaklee
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Arbutus
Very High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#57 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#469 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arbutus and the region

Centroid at 39.2621, -76.6943 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oaklee scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arbutus
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.8% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,133 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arbutus
4.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arbutus
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arbutus
4.9

How Oaklee compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oaklee risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 430900Arbutus: 6.16.1Arbutusparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oaklee

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arbutus, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005430900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005430900?

Census tract 24005430900 in the Oaklee neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005430900?

Median gross rent is $1,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005430900?

15.8% of residents in tract 24005430900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,475.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005430900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 40th, minority 64th, housing 58th.
Q5

Is tract 24005430900 considered part of Oaklee?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005430900 fall within Oaklee (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005430900 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005430900 compare to Arbutus overall?

Tract 24005430900 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Arbutus at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arbutus; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24005430900 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arbutus

Top eight tracts in Arbutus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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