Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

Middlesex Eviction Risk: Elevated , Essex

Tract 24005492300 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,815 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 6.7/10, tract 24005492300 in the Middlesex area of Essex, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,815. Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 46.8% across Baltimore County.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 5% Owners 84%

Tract context

Occupied units1,405

Renter share16.1%

SVI overall0.33

Poverty rate7.8%

Median income$67,317

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Essex and the region

Centroid at 39.3266, -76.4528 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middlesex scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Essex

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

7.8% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,819 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Essex

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Essex

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Essex

6.8

How Middlesex compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
38%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.2%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
16.8%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
26.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middlesex

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. At $1,819 a month, rents run 38% over what the rest of Essex commands.

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.9/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $67,317 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.

Against the Baltimore County average of 5.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005492300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005492300?

Census tract 24005492300 in the Middlesex neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005492300?

Median gross rent is $1,819/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005492300?

7.8% of residents in tract 24005492300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,815.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005492300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 38th, minority 32th, housing 16th.

Is tract 24005492300 considered part of Middlesex?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005492300 fall within Middlesex (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005492300 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005492300 compare to Essex overall?

Tract 24005492300 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Essex at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Essex eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Essex

Top eight tracts in Essex ranked by composite eviction-risk score.