Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Middlesex Eviction Risk: Moderate , Essex

Tract 24005492300 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 3,815 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 24005492300, home to 3,815 residents in the Middlesex area of Essex, scores 7.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.

66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,819 a month while the average household earns $67,317 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 5% Owners 84%

Tract context

Occupied units1,405

Renter share16.1%

SVI overall0.33

Poverty rate7.8%

Median income$67,317

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Essex and the region

Centroid at 39.3266, -76.4528 · click any tract to drill in

Why Middlesex scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Essex

8.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.4

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

7.8% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$1,819 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Essex

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Essex

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Essex

6.8

How Middlesex compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
38%Household composition
32%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

15.2%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility-shutoff threat
16.8%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
9.8%No health insurance
18.3%Frequent mental distress
26.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Middlesex

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Essex eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005492300

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005492300?

Census tract 24005492300 in the Middlesex neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24005492300?

Median gross rent is $1,819/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005492300?

7.8% of residents in tract 24005492300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,815.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005492300?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 38th, minority 32th, housing 16th.

Is tract 24005492300 considered part of Middlesex?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005492300 fall within Middlesex (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24005492300 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24005492300 compare to Essex overall?

Tract 24005492300 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Essex at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Essex eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Essex

Top eight tracts in Essex ranked by composite eviction-risk score.