1 census tracts · pop 3,815 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10
· range 6.7–6.7
Middlesex is a one-tract neighborhood of Essex, MD, population 3,815. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.7/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 66% against 33.8% citywide, putting Middlesex 32.6% over its own city.
At $1,819 a month, rents sit 38% over what the rest of Essex commands. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.4/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $67,317 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Well under the midpoint is economic stress, at 1.9/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Essex, it ranks #6 by risk, the middle third.
Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Valecrest and Silver Manor.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Middlesex vs EssexHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport16%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Middlesex
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
15.2%Housing insecurity
8.8%Utility shutoff threat
16.8%Food insecurity
12.4%SNAP enrollment
9.8%No health insurance
26.6%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Middlesex
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Middlesex?
Middlesex scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Middlesex compare to Essex overall?
Middlesex scores 0.4 points higher than Essex overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 66% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,819 vs $1,319.
Q3
What is the average rent in Middlesex?
Average gross rent in Middlesex is $1,819/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Middlesex residents are renters?
16% of Middlesex households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in Essex). The neighborhood has 3,815 residents.
Q5
Is Middlesex a high social-vulnerability area?
Middlesex sits in the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is Middlesex for landlords?
Middlesex carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Essex as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of Middlesex?
Middlesex has 3,229 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (74.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (17.8%), Other / Multiracial (7.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
