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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally

Eccleston Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Garrison

Tract 24005403704 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 4,630 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

For landlords sizing up Eccleston Valley in Garrison, census tract 24005403704 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

73% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,143 a month while the average household earns $142,917 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 8% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,926
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$142,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Eccleston Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Garrison
Very Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#160 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Low
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#903 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Garrison and the region

Centroid at 39.4186, -76.7419 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eccleston Valley scores 2.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Garrison
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,143 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Garrison
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Garrison
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Garrison
5.0

How Eccleston Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eccleston Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.62.6This tracttract 403704Garrison: 5.95.9Garrisonparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eccleston Valley

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Garrison, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005403704

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005403704?

Census tract 24005403704 in the Eccleston Valley neighborhood scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005403704?

Median gross rent is $2,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005403704?

4.0% of residents in tract 24005403704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,630.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005403704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 94th, minority 65th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 24005403704 considered part of Eccleston Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005403704 fall within Eccleston Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005403704 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005403704 compare to Garrison overall?

Tract 24005403704 scores 2.6/10, lower than the parent city of Garrison at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Garrison; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Garrison

Top eight tracts in Garrison ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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