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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Hawthorne Eviction Risk: Elevated , Middle River

Tract 24005451500 · Baltimore County, MD · pop 4,429 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 7.7/10, tract 24005451500 in the Hawthorne area of Middle River, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,429 residents. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 13% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,274
Renter share32.9%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate33.8%
Median income$70,439

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hawthorne
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Middle River
Very High
Within county
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 219 tracts In Baltimore County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#155 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middle River and the region

Centroid at 39.3212, -76.4338 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hawthorne scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
33.8% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,855 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middle River
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middle River
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middle River
8.0

How Hawthorne compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hawthorne risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 4515006.3Middle Riverparent city5.7Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hawthorne

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Baltimore County average of 46.8%. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.9/10.

The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 2.0 points above the Baltimore County average of 5.7. Food insecurity runs 35.1% against 17.8% nationally.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Housing insecurity runs 26.9% against 14.2% nationally.

At $1,855 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Middle River commands. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24005451500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24005451500?

Census tract 24005451500 in the Hawthorne neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24005451500?

Median gross rent is $1,855/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24005451500?

33.8% of residents in tract 24005451500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,429.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24005451500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 94th, minority 53th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 24005451500 considered part of Hawthorne?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24005451500 fall within Hawthorne (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24005451500 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24005451500 compare to Middle River overall?

Tract 24005451500 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Middle River at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middle River eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middle River

Top eight tracts in Middle River ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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