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Neighborhood · Middle River, MD

Hawthorne Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,429 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 7.7–7.7

Hawthorne maps to a single census tract in Middle River, MD, population 4,429. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.7/10, Elevated tier. Severe burden reaches 48%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 60% against 41.2% citywide, putting Hawthorne 19.2% over its own city. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint is economic stress at 8.4/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

18.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot is housing-court posture at 8/10. Average gross rent is $1,855, 13% above the Middle River average of $1,636.

Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Middle River, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Wampler Village and Glenmar Manor score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $70,439.

One tract means one number: 7.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Hawthorne vs Middle River How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.4% +47%
Middle River: 41.2%
Average gross rent
$1,855 +13%
Middle River: $1,636
Average HH income
$70,439 -5%
Middle River: $74,198
Poverty rate
33.8% +109%
Middle River: 16.2%
Renter share
32.9% -2%
Middle River: 33.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hawthorne and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.7–7.7

Why Hawthorne scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
33% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
33.8% below poverty line · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Hawthorne vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Hawthorne score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.7HawthorneNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Hawthorne

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24005451500 7.7 4,429 60% $1,855
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 83

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 85%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 94%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 52%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hawthorne

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Hawthorne

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hawthorne?

Hawthorne scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Hawthorne compare to Middle River overall?

Hawthorne scores 1.4 points higher than Middle River overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 41% citywide. Average rent: $1,855 vs $1,636.
Q3

What is the average rent in Hawthorne?

Average gross rent in Hawthorne is $1,855/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Hawthorne residents are renters?

33% of Hawthorne households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Middle River). The neighborhood has 4,429 residents.
Q5

Is Hawthorne a high social-vulnerability area?

Hawthorne sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Hawthorne for landlords?

Hawthorne carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Middle River as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Hawthorne?

Hawthorne has 4,279 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (66%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.9%), Hispanic / Latino (12%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hawthorne

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Middle River

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hawthorne.

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