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Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Denton Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 24011955301 · Caroline County, MD · pop 4,172 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Denton

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 24011955301 in Denton, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,172. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 11% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share22.5%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$81,612

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Denton
Very Low
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Caroline County
Elevated
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#741 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,095 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Denton and the region

Centroid at 38.8624, -75.7768 · click any tract to drill in

Why Denton scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Denton
4.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,328 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Denton
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Denton
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Denton
6.9

How Denton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Denton risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 9553016.1Dentonparent city5.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Denton

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,328, 27% above the Denton average.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. 49% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Caroline County average of 5.1 closely.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $81,612.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24011955301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24011955301?

Census tract 24011955301 in Denton scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24011955301?

Median gross rent is $1,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24011955301?

7.9% of residents in tract 24011955301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,172.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24011955301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 73th, minority 24th, housing 70th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 24011955301 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 24011955301 compare to Denton overall?

Tract 24011955301 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Denton at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Denton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Denton

Top eight tracts in Denton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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