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Neighborhood · Frederick, MD

Hawthorn Square Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,921 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Hawthorn Square is a one-tract neighborhood of Frederick, MD, population 3,921. The Eviction Risk Score is 6/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Frederick baseline of 31.2%, 65% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.4/10.

The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. That places it #1 of 19 neighborhoods in Frederick.

Average gross rent runs $1,714, close to the Frederick average.

One tract means one number: 6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Hawthorn Square vs Frederick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
65.3% +109%
Frederick: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,714 -3%
Frederick: $1,764
Average HH income
$61,683 -35%
Frederick: $95,150
Poverty rate
16.7% +78%
Frederick: 9.4%
Renter share
78.1% +89%
Frederick: 41.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hawthorn Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6–6

Why Hawthorn Square scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
65% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
78% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
16.7% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

Hawthorn Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Hawthorn Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Hawthorn Square: 6.06.0Hawthorn SquareNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.55.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Hawthorn Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24021750508 6 3,921 65% $1,714
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 63

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 79%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 20%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hawthorn Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Hawthorn Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hawthorn Square?

Hawthorn Square scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Hawthorn Square compare to Frederick overall?

Hawthorn Square scores 1.4 points higher than Frederick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 65% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,714 vs $1,764.
Q3

What is the average rent in Hawthorn Square?

Average gross rent in Hawthorn Square is $1,714/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Hawthorn Square residents are renters?

78% of Hawthorn Square households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Frederick). The neighborhood has 3,921 residents.
Q5

Is Hawthorn Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Hawthorn Square sits in the 63rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Hawthorn Square for landlords?

Hawthorn Square carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Frederick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Hawthorn Square?

Hawthorn Square has 4,377 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (39%), Black (non-Hispanic) (31.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (24.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hawthorn Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Frederick

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hawthorn Square.

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