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Neighborhood · Frederick, MD

Spring Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 7,617 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Spring Valley spans 2 census tracts of Frederick, MD and houses 7,617 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 49% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Frederick rate of 31.2%.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

At $1,440 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Frederick commands. On the softer side is economic stress, at 3/10. That places it #1 of 19 neighborhoods in Frederick.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Hawthorn Square and Monocacy Village. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $64,215. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Spring Valley vs Frederick How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.7% +56%
Frederick: 31.2%
Average gross rent
$1,440 -18%
Frederick: $1,764
Average HH income
$64,215 -33%
Frederick: $95,150
Poverty rate
11.9% +27%
Frederick: 9.4%
Renter share
63.0% +53%
Frederick: 41.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Spring Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 6–6

Why Spring Valley scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Economic stress
11.9% below poverty line · Range 2.5–3.3 across tracts
3.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.0 across tracts
1.4
Risk score comparison

Spring Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Spring Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Spring Valley: 6.06.0Spring ValleyNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 5.55.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Spring Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24021750702 6 4,413 50% $1,305
24021750801 6 3,204 47% $1,627
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 66

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 64%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 57%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 78%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Spring Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Spring Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Spring Valley?

Spring Valley scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Spring Valley compare to Frederick overall?

Spring Valley scores 1.4 points higher than Frederick overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,440 vs $1,764.
Q3

What is the average rent in Spring Valley?

Average gross rent in Spring Valley is $1,440/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Spring Valley residents are renters?

63% of Spring Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 41% in Frederick). The neighborhood has 7,617 residents.
Q5

Is Spring Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Spring Valley sits in the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Spring Valley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Spring Valley is census tract 24021750702 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6 to 6, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Spring Valley for landlords?

Spring Valley carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Frederick as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Spring Valley?

Spring Valley has 7,593 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (56.4%), Hispanic / Latino (14.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Spring Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Frederick

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Spring Valley.

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