Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Jefferson Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 24021752501 · Frederick County, MD · pop 5,474 · 21% of tract blocks fall in Jefferson
Tract 24021752501 sits in Jefferson, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 5,474. 18% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Frederick County average of 39.1%.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,907
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$141,213
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
National
36
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jefferson and the region
Centroid at 39.3996, -77.5869 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jefferson scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jefferson
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,268 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jefferson
1.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jefferson
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jefferson
2.3
How Jefferson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 35%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.9%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jefferson
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.9/10. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally.
At $1,268 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Jefferson commands. That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $141,213, annual rent is just 11%. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24021752501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021752501?
Census tract 24021752501 in Jefferson scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24021752501?
Median gross rent is $1,268/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24021752501?
8.8% of residents in tract 24021752501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,474.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24021752501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 15th, minority 35th, housing 27th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 24021752501 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 24021752501 compare to Jefferson overall?
Tract 24021752501 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Jefferson at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jefferson; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jefferson
Top eight tracts in Jefferson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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