Centroid at 39.4257, -77.3950 · click any tract to drill in
Why EastChurch scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Frederick
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
0.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,504 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Frederick
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Frederick
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Frederick
4.5
How EastChurch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
4%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
13%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
8.1%Housing insecurity
5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
7.7%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
6.1%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
19.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in EastChurch
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.5/10.
Disability prevalence runs 19.3% against 31.5% nationally. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,504, 15% below the Frederick average. Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $142,949, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24021750804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24021750804?
Census tract 24021750804 in the EastChurch neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24021750804?
Median gross rent is $1,504/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24021750804?
0.9% of residents in tract 24021750804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,558.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24021750804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 93th, minority 54th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 24021750804 considered part of EastChurch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24021750804 fall within EastChurch (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24021750804 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24021750804 compare to Frederick overall?
Tract 24021750804 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Frederick at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Frederick eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Frederick
Top eight tracts in Frederick ranked by composite eviction-risk score.