Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Brinkleigh Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ellicott City
Tract 24027602202 · Howard County, MD · pop 5,812 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 4.3/10, tract 24027602202 in the Brinkleigh area of Ellicott City, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,935
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$181,328
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
31
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ellicott City and the region
Centroid at 39.2857, -76.8401 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brinkleigh scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ellicott City
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,820 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ellicott City
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ellicott City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ellicott City
4.4
How Brinkleigh compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.9%Food insecurity
- 5.1%SNAP enrollment
- 4.6%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 11.8%Frequent mental distress
- 20.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brinkleigh
The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
Cost burden runs 55% here against 45.4% across Howard County. SNAP participation runs 5.1% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Howard County average of 5.3.
Average gross rent is $1,820, 12% below the Ellicott City average. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $181,328, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24027602202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24027602202?
Census tract 24027602202 in the Brinkleigh neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24027602202?
Median gross rent is $1,820/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24027602202?
5.7% of residents in tract 24027602202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,812.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24027602202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 71th, minority 60th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 24027602202 considered part of Brinkleigh?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24027602202 fall within Brinkleigh (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24027602202 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24027602202 compare to Ellicott City overall?
Tract 24027602202 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Ellicott City at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ellicott City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ellicott City
Top eight tracts in Ellicott City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Ivy Hill
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Chestnut Hill
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Stonecrest Hills
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Market Square South
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Pine Orchard
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Nob Hill
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Worthington
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
24027603001
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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