Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Chestnut Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ellicott City
Tract 24027602900 ·
Howard County, MD · pop 4,567 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
24027602900 is a census tract in the Chestnut Hill area of Ellicott City, MD. It scores 5.5/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,567. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.9/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%Stable renters 40%Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,181
Renter share78.8%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$87,363
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Chestnut Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
92th percentile
#2 of 14 tracts In Ellicott City
Very High
Within county
57th percentile
#26 of 59 tracts In Howard County
Elevated
Within state
54th percentile
#676 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ellicott City and the region
Centroid at 39.2828, -76.7962 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Hill scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Ellicott City
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,938 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ellicott City
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ellicott City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ellicott City
4.4
How Chestnut Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
17%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
70%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.9%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
8.9%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
4.9%Transit barriers
5.5%No health insurance
11.6%Frequent mental distress
18.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Hill
The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.3/10.
Disability prevalence runs 18.4% against 31.5% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.5/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 49% of renters.
It tracks the Howard County average of 5.3 closely. Average gross rent is $1,938, close to the Ellicott City average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $87,363.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24027602900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24027602900?
Census tract 24027602900 in the Chestnut Hill neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24027602900?
Median gross rent is $1,938/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24027602900?
5.2% of residents in tract 24027602900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,567.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24027602900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 73th, minority 74th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 24027602900 considered part of Chestnut Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24027602900 fall within Chestnut Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24027602900 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24027602900 compare to Ellicott City overall?
Tract 24027602900 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Ellicott City at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ellicott City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ellicott City
Top eight tracts in Ellicott City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.