Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Chestnut Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Ellicott City
Tract 24027602900 · Howard County, MD · pop 4,567 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Chestnut Hill in Ellicott City is where census tract 24027602900 sits, home to 4,567 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,938 a month against an average household income of $87,363 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 79% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,181
Renter share78.8%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate5.2%
Median income$87,363
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ellicott City and the region
Centroid at 39.2828, -76.7962 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Hill scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ellicott City
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.2% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,938 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ellicott City
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ellicott City
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ellicott City
4.4
How Chestnut Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 74%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 5.2%SNAP enrollment
- 4.9%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 18.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Hill
The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at 5.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Ellicott City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Howard County average of 6.5 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24027602900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24027602900?
Census tract 24027602900 in the Chestnut Hill neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24027602900?
Median gross rent is $1,938/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24027602900?
5.2% of residents in tract 24027602900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,567.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24027602900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 73th, minority 74th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 24027602900 considered part of Chestnut Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24027602900 fall within Chestnut Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24027602900 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24027602900 compare to Ellicott City overall?
Tract 24027602900 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Ellicott City at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ellicott City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ellicott City
Top eight tracts in Ellicott City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Ivy Hill
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Stonecrest Hills
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Brinkleigh
2.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Worthington
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Market Square South
2.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Running Brook
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Nob Hill
2.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Keywaydin
2.7
/ 10 · Low
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