Neighborhood · Ellicott City, MD

Chestnut Hill Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,567 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Chestnut Hill is a white-asian neighborhood in Ellicott City with 1 census tract and a population of 4,567 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,938/month sits 6% lower than the Ellicott City citywide average ($2,061).

Risk score

3.8

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Chestnut Hill vs Ellicott City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.9% +51%

Ellicott City: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$1,938 -6%

Ellicott City: $2,061

Average HH income

$87,363 -48%

Ellicott City: $166,674

Poverty rate

5.2% +54%

Ellicott City: 3.4%

Renter share

78.8% +181%

Ellicott City: 28.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Chestnut Hill scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

79% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts

4.4

Economic stress

5.2% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts

4.9

Risk score comparison

Chestnut Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24027602900	3.8	4,567	49%	$1,938

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 73%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 70%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chestnut Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.9%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
8.9%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
18.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Chestnut Hill

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Hill?

Chestnut Hill scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Chestnut Hill compare to Ellicott City overall?

Chestnut Hill scores 2.4 points lower than Ellicott City overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,938 vs $2,061.

What is the average rent in Chestnut Hill?

Average gross rent in Chestnut Hill is $1,938/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Chestnut Hill residents are renters?

79% of Chestnut Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Ellicott City). The neighborhood has 4,567 residents.

Is Chestnut Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut Hill sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Chestnut Hill for landlords?

Chestnut Hill carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ellicott City as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Hill?

Chestnut Hill has 4,713 residents (White-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (32.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut Hill

2.7 Running Brook 2 tracts · pop 10,376 1.7 Woodland Village 4 tracts · pop 19,908 2.7 Talbott Springs 2 tracts · pop 13,549

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ellicott City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut Hill.

4.1 Ivy Hill 1 tracts · pop 7,934 3.1 Stonecrest Hills 1 tracts · pop 6,121 2.9 Brinkleigh 1 tracts · pop 5,812 2.8 Worthington 1 tracts · pop 6,020 2.8 Market Square South 1 tracts · pop 3,700 2.7 Mount Hebron 1 tracts · pop 8,764

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