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Neighborhood · Ellicott City, MD

Chestnut Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,567 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.5/10 · range 5.5–5.5

Chestnut Hill maps to a single census tract in Ellicott City, MD, population 4,567. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.5/10, Moderate tier. Against a Ellicott City baseline of 32.3%, 49% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. This is a renter market: 79% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.3/10. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.7/10.

SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.9% of adults, 8.9 points below the national rate. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Ellicott City, it ranks #2 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Ivy Hill and Stonecrest Hills score within a fraction of it. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent runs $1,938, close to the Ellicott City average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $87,363.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chestnut Hill vs Ellicott City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
48.9% +51%
Ellicott City: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$1,938 -6%
Ellicott City: $2,061
Average HH income
$87,363 -48%
Ellicott City: $166,674
Poverty rate
5.2% +54%
Ellicott City: 3.4%
Renter share
78.8% +181%
Ellicott City: 28.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.5–5.5

Why Chestnut Hill scores 5.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
49% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
79% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Economic stress
5.2% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts
1.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

Chestnut Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chestnut Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.5Chestnut HillNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24027602900 5.5 4,567 49% $1,938
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 17%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 70%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chestnut Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chestnut Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Hill?

Chestnut Hill scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chestnut Hill compare to Ellicott City overall?

Chestnut Hill scores 0.9 points higher than Ellicott City overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,938 vs $2,061.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chestnut Hill?

Average gross rent in Chestnut Hill is $1,938/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chestnut Hill residents are renters?

79% of Chestnut Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Ellicott City). The neighborhood has 4,567 residents.
Q5

Is Chestnut Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut Hill sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Chestnut Hill for landlords?

Chestnut Hill carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ellicott City as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Hill?

Chestnut Hill has 4,713 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (32.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ellicott City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut Hill.

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