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Neighborhood · Ellicott City, MD

Market Square South Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,700 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

Market Square South is a one-tract neighborhood of Ellicott City, MD, population 3,700. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.2/10, in the Moderate tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. 39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Ellicott City rate of 32.3%. The voucher gap is 17.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.7/10. Disability prevalence reaches 17.9% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. 4.2% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Average gross rent is $2,298, 11% above the Ellicott City average of $2,061. That places it #5 of 11 neighborhoods in Ellicott City.

Against average income of $212,745, annual rent is only 13%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Market Square South vs Ellicott City How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.2% +21%
Ellicott City: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$2,298 +11%
Ellicott City: $2,061
Average HH income
$212,745 +28%
Ellicott City: $166,674
Poverty rate
4.3% +27%
Ellicott City: 3.4%
Renter share
28.1% +0%
Ellicott City: 28.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Market Square South and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why Market Square South scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.4–4.4 across tracts
4.4
Economic stress
4.3% below poverty line · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Risk score comparison

Market Square South vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Market Square South score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2Market Square SoutNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Market Square South

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24027602201 4.2 3,700 39% $2,298
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 8

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 5%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 19%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 13%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Market Square South

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Market Square South

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Market Square South?

Market Square South scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Market Square South compare to Ellicott City overall?

Market Square South scores 0.4 points lower than Ellicott City overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,298 vs $2,061.
Q3

What is the average rent in Market Square South?

Average gross rent in Market Square South is $2,298/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Market Square South residents are renters?

28% of Market Square South households are renter-occupied (vs 28% in Ellicott City). The neighborhood has 3,700 residents.
Q5

Is Market Square South a high social-vulnerability area?

Market Square South sits in the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Market Square South for landlords?

Market Square South carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ellicott City as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Market Square South?

Market Square South has 3,810 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (33.4%), Hispanic / Latino (10.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Market Square South

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Ellicott City

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Market Square South.

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