Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Saddle Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Burtonsville
Tract 24031701427 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,108 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 24031701427 covers part of the Saddle Creek area of Burtonsville, MD, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units922
Renter share17.4%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$113,952
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burtonsville and the region
Centroid at 39.1003, -76.9158 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saddle Creek scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burtonsville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,379 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burtonsville
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burtonsville
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burtonsville
3.1
How Saddle Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.3%Housing insecurity
- 7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.5%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 7.7%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 20.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saddle Creek
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Cost burden runs 38% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8/10.
Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent is $2,379, close to the Burtonsville average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701427
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701427?
Census tract 24031701427 in the Saddle Creek neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701427?
Median gross rent is $2,379/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701427?
5.3% of residents in tract 24031701427 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,108.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701427?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 26th, minority 93th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701427 considered part of Saddle Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701427 fall within Saddle Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701427 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701427 compare to Burtonsville overall?
Tract 24031701427 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Burtonsville at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burtonsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burtonsville
Top eight tracts in Burtonsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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