Neighborhood · Burtonsville, MD

Saddle Creek Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,108 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.6/10 · range 1.6–1.6

Saddle Creek is a black-asian neighborhood in Burtonsville with 1 census tract and a population of 3,108 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.6/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 38% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 11% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,379/month sits 1% higher than the Burtonsville citywide average ($2,358).

Risk score

1.6

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Saddle Creek vs Burtonsville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

38.1% +39%

Burtonsville: 27.4%

Average gross rent

$2,379 +1%

Burtonsville: $2,358

Average HH income

$113,952 -12%

Burtonsville: $130,000

Poverty rate

5.3% +50%

Burtonsville: 3.5%

Renter share

17.4% -23%

Burtonsville: 22.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Saddle Creek and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 1.6–1.6

Why Saddle Creek scores 1.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

38% of income on rent · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts

3.6

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts

5.9

Tenant organizing strength

17% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Economic stress

5.3% below poverty line · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Risk score comparison

Saddle Creek vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Saddle Creek

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24031701427	1.6	3,108	38%	$2,379

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 12

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 8%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 26%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 93%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 9%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Saddle Creek

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

13.3%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility shutoff threat
14.5%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
7.7%No health insurance
20.9%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Saddle Creek

What is the eviction-risk score for Saddle Creek?

Saddle Creek scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Saddle Creek compare to Burtonsville overall?

Saddle Creek scores 4.5 points lower than Burtonsville overall (6.1/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 27% citywide. Average rent: $2,379 vs $2,358.

What is the average rent in Saddle Creek?

Average gross rent in Saddle Creek is $2,379/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Saddle Creek residents are renters?

17% of Saddle Creek households are renter-occupied (vs 23% in Burtonsville). The neighborhood has 3,108 residents.

Is Saddle Creek a high social-vulnerability area?

Saddle Creek sits in the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Saddle Creek for landlords?

Saddle Creek carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burtonsville as a whole (6.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Saddle Creek?

Saddle Creek has 3,223 residents (Black-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (45.1%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (20.9%), Hispanic / Latino (20.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Saddle Creek

4.9 Green Castle Lakes 2 tracts · pop 8,579 3.2 Fairland Heights 2 tracts · pop 10,799 3.1 Rolling Acres 2 tracts · pop 7,667 3 Layhill South 2 tracts · pop 10,690 1.8 Northwood Park 2 tracts · pop 8,348 3.6 Willson Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,822

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Burtonsville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Saddle Creek.

1.1 Peach Orchard Heights 1 tracts · pop 4,793 1.1 New Birmingham Manor 1 tracts · pop 6,429

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