Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Cloverly
Tract 24031701407 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,723 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
24031701407 is a census tract in the Orchard Hill area of Cloverly, MD. It scores 3.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,723. The severe-burden share is 67%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,867
Renter share6.9%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$175,121
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cloverly and the region
Centroid at 39.1081, -77.0147 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard Hill scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cloverly
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,804 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cloverly
3.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cloverly
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cloverly
3.3
How Orchard Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.4%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 11.1%Frequent mental distress
- 21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard Hill
Cost burden runs 67% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. It sits 2.2 points below the Montgomery County average of 6.0.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10. At $2,804 a month, rents run 32% over what the rest of Cloverly commands.
Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8/10. The voucher gap is 21.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 38% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701407
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701407?
Census tract 24031701407 in the Orchard Hill neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701407?
Median gross rent is $2,804/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701407?
4.5% of residents in tract 24031701407 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,723.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701407?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 43th, minority 70th, housing 22th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701407 considered part of Orchard Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701407 fall within Orchard Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701407 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701407 compare to Cloverly overall?
Tract 24031701407 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Cloverly at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cloverly; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Cloverly
Top eight tracts in Cloverly ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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