Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally
Chestnut Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Forest Glen
Tract 24031703901 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,410 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 24031703901 covers the Chestnut Hills area of Forest Glen in Maryland. Home to 3,410 residents, it scores 6.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #6,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,969 monthly, set against $180,417 in average yearly household income, roughly 13% of income at the averages. About 11% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,096
Renter share10.6%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$180,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest Glen and the region
Centroid at 39.0203, -77.0363 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Hills scores 2.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forest Glen
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,969 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Glen
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Glen
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Glen
4.5
How Chestnut Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 26
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 29%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 11.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Hills
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forest Glen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703901
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703901?
Census tract 24031703901 in the Chestnut Hills neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703901?
Median gross rent is $1,969/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703901?
4.7% of residents in tract 24031703901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,410.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703901?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 26th, minority 62th, housing 29th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703901 considered part of Chestnut Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703901 fall within Chestnut Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703901 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703901 compare to Forest Glen overall?
Tract 24031703901 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Forest Glen at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Glen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forest Glen
Top eight tracts in Forest Glen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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