Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally

The Chase at Quince Orchard Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gaithersburg

Tract 24031700824 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,728 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 6.3/10, tract 24031700824 in the The Chase at Quince Orchard area of Gaithersburg, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,728. Severe burden reaches 69%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 3% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units976

Renter share9.5%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate5.2%

Median income$220,385

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Gaithersburg and the region

Centroid at 39.1195, -77.2454 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Chase at Quince Orchard scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Gaithersburg

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

5.2% poverty · this tract

1.3

Supply constraint

$2,163 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Gaithersburg

7.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.8

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Gaithersburg

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Gaithersburg

5.9

How The Chase at Quince Orchard compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

7%Socioeconomic
37%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.7%Housing insecurity
3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
5.6%Food insecurity
3.2%SNAP enrollment
3.5%Transit barriers
4.2%No health insurance
10.8%Frequent mental distress
16.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Chase at Quince Orchard

Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.8% against 31.5% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $220,385, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,163, close to the Gaithersburg average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700824

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700824?

Census tract 24031700824 in the The Chase at Quince Orchard neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031700824?

Median gross rent is $2,163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700824?

5.2% of residents in tract 24031700824 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,728.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700824?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 37th, minority 53th, housing 14th.

Is tract 24031700824 considered part of The Chase at Quince Orchard?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700824 fall within The Chase at Quince Orchard (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031700824 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031700824 compare to Gaithersburg overall?

Tract 24031700824 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Gaithersburg at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gaithersburg

Top eight tracts in Gaithersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.