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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

The Colony Eviction Risk: Elevated , Germantown

Tract 24031700818 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,282 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 7.7/10, tract 24031700818 in the The Colony area of Germantown, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,282. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 46% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,463
Renter share75.3%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$79,668

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In The Colony
Moderate
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 17 tracts In Germantown
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#37 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#155 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Centroid at 39.1799, -77.2556 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Colony scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,776 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5

How The Colony compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Colony risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 7008186.3Germantownparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Colony

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

It sits 1.7 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10.

Cost burden runs 38% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 22.7% against 14.2% nationally.

At $1,776 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Germantown commands. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700818

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700818?

Census tract 24031700818 in the The Colony neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031700818?

Median gross rent is $1,776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700818?

18.6% of residents in tract 24031700818 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,282.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700818?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 58th, minority 87th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 24031700818 considered part of The Colony?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700818 fall within The Colony (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031700818 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031700818 compare to Germantown overall?

Tract 24031700818 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Germantown at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Germantown

Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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