1 census tracts · pop 6,282 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10
· range 7.7–7.7
The Colony maps to a single census tract in Germantown, MD and houses 6,282 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.7/10, Elevated tier. This is a renter market: 75% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. 38% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Germantown rate of 30.1%.
The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.7/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 22.7% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 19%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10. At $1,776 a month, rents sit 13% under what the rest of Germantown commands. Food insecurity affects 27.1% of adults, 9.3 points above the national rate.
Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Germantown, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $79,668.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.7/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
The Colony vs GermantownHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority87%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in The Colony
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
22.7%Housing insecurity
13.7%Utility shutoff threat
27.1%Food insecurity
21.5%SNAP enrollment
15.7%No health insurance
27.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About The Colony
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for The Colony?
The Colony scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does The Colony compare to Germantown overall?
The Colony scores 1.4 points higher than Germantown overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,776 vs $2,040.
Q3
What is the average rent in The Colony?
Average gross rent in The Colony is $1,776/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of The Colony residents are renters?
75% of The Colony households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Germantown). The neighborhood has 6,282 residents.
Q5
Is The Colony a high social-vulnerability area?
The Colony sits in the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
How safe is The Colony for landlords?
The Colony carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Germantown as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7
What is the demographic breakdown of The Colony?
The Colony has 6,599 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (40.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (26%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (15.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
