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Kemp Mill, Maryland eviction risk overview
City brief · 13,042 residents

Kemp Mill, MD Eviction Risk: HIGH

Montgomery County · Population 13,042

In 2026
Risk score
7.7
HIGH

75th percentile, Maryland.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.6 Average3.3 Now7.7
10 5 1976 · score 1.6 1977 · score 1.6 1978 · score 1.6 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.8 1981 · score 1.8 1982 · score 1.9 1983 · score 1.8 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.8 1990 · score 1.9 1991 · score 1.9 1992 · score 2.4 1993 · score 2.4 1994 · score 2.4 1995 · score 2.5 1996 · score 2.6 1997 · score 2.6 1998 · score 2.7 1999 · score 2.8 2000 · score 2.6 2001 · score 2.8 2002 · score 2.8 2003 · score 2.8 2004 · score 2.9 2005 · score 3.0 2006 · score 3.0 2007 · score 3.2 2008 · score 3.7 2009 · score 3.8 2010 · score 3.9 2011 · score 4.0 2012 · score 4.0 2013 · score 4.1 2014 · score 4.2 2015 · score 4.3 2016 · score 4.6 2017 · score 4.8 2018 · score 5.0 2019 · score 5.2 2020 · score 5.9 2021 · score 5.9 2022 · score 5.9 2023 · score 5.9 2024 · score 5.8 2025 · score 6.9 2026 · score 7.7

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.2 Regional 8.2 State 5.7 Economic 6.3 Supply 6.6 Rent Control 5.0 Eviction 5.7 Tenant 3.8 Housing 4.9 7.7 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +53.3% (2024)
    8.2
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.2
  3. State political climate
    Maryland legislature & governorship
    5.7
  4. Economic stress
    9.1% poverty · 6.7% unemp.
    6.3
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,177 average · 16.2% renters
    6.6
  6. Rent Control risk
    28.5% of income on rent
    5.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    143 days filing → judgment
    5.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    16.2% renters
    3.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    4.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kemp Mill and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Kemp Mill compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Montgomery County
Moderate
#26 of 56 cities
Rank in county, 55th percentileBottomTop
#26 of 56 cities in Montgomery County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Maryland
Elevated
#149 of 532 cities
Rank in state, 72nd percentileBottomTop
#149 of 532 cities in Maryland for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Kemp Mill risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Kemp Mill: 7.77.7Kemp MillThis cityCounty: 7.97.9Countyavg in countyState: 7.87.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.7
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.7/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+6.1 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 143d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,177/mo. A contested eviction takes 143 days and costs $6,895-$14,846 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 16.2%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 13,042 residents, 16.2% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 9.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8.2
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8.2 and 8.2 (Dem margin +53.3% (2024)). State climate at 5.7, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 5.7
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 5.7/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 5.7, housing court bias 4.9, rent-control risk 5. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +0.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 6.3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 6.3. Supply constraint: 6.6. The numbers behind those: 9.1% poverty, 6.7% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Kemp Mill sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Baltimore, MD · 147d · ~$11.8k all-in ($80/day) · score 8.5 Baltimore Columbia, MD · 136d · ~$11.5k all-in ($85/day) · score 7.7 Columbia Germantown, MD · 153d · ~$11.8k all-in ($77/day) · score 8 Germantown Frederick, MD · 147d · ~$10.1k all-in ($69/day) · score 6.9 Frederick Waldorf, MD · 143d · ~$12.4k all-in ($87/day) · score 7.5 Waldorf Silver Spring, MD · 147d · ~$11.0k all-in ($75/day) · score 8 Silver Spring Ellicott City, MD · 143d · ~$11.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 7.3 Ellicott City Glen Burnie, MD · 157d · ~$11.7k all-in ($75/day) · score 7.9 Glen Burnie Gaithersburg, MD · 145d · ~$10.8k all-in ($74/day) · score 8.2 Gaithersburg Bethesda, MD · 143d · ~$11.8k all-in ($83/day) · score 8.1 Bethesda Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Kemp Mill
Kemp Mill · 143d · ~$10.9k all-in ($76/day) · score 7.7 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Kemp Mill, MD

Landlording in Kemp Mill, Maryland, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.7/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Kemp Mill is a city of 13,042 residents where 16.2% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 28.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,177/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Kemp Mill eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 5.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Kemp Mill closes 143 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Kemp Mill's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 4.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Kemp Mill runs $6,895 to $14,846 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 143 days of typical timeline and $2,177/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.8/10 in Kemp Mill, and the city has limited rent control exposure (5/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Maryland, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Kemp Mill: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Maryland's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $14,846 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Kemp Mill

Trap · 5/10
The 6.9/10 score weighs nine sub-factors including political climate, court bias, supply constraint, and tenant organizing strength. Kemp Mill's rent-control-risk sub-score is 5/10, driven by state preemption and market dynamics.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What if my tenant claims they're withholding rent for repairs?

In Maryland, tenants generally cannot withhold rent for repairs without a court order, unless the lease specifically allows it. They must follow a strict process, typically notifying you in writing, waiting a reasonable time for you to fix it, and then petitioning the court for "rent escrow." If they just stop paying, you can still proceed with a non-payment eviction. Always address repair requests promptly and in writing to avoid this defense.

Q2

Can I evict a tenant in Kemp Mill without a reason?

If you have a month-to-month lease, you can terminate it with proper notice (usually 60 days in Maryland) without providing a specific reason, as long as it's not discriminatory or retaliatory. However, if there's a fixed-term lease in place, you generally can only evict for a lease violation (like non-payment) or if the lease term has expired and you've given proper notice to vacate. Maryland does not have statewide just-cause eviction, but local Montgomery County rules can be stricter, so check those as well. Our Montgomery County eviction guide has more information.

Q3

How long after the court grants possession can I actually remove the tenant?

After the court grants you a "Judgment for Possession," the tenant typically has a short period (often 48 hours or a few days) to appeal or "redeem" by paying all outstanding amounts. If they don't, you then need to file for a "Warrant of Restitution" with the court. Once the warrant is issued, the sheriff will schedule the actual lockout. This whole process after judgment can still take weeks, adding to the overall 143-day timeline.

Q4

What if my tenant abandons the property?

If you believe the tenant has truly abandoned the property (e.g., moved out, removed belongings, stopped paying rent, no communication), you need to be very careful. Do not simply change the locks. You risk an illegal eviction claim. Maryland law has specific procedures for determining abandonment and for handling abandoned personal property. Consult an attorney before taking action if you suspect abandonment to ensure you follow the law and avoid liability.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.7/10 places Kemp Mill in the 75th percentile of Maryland cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.