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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard Place Eviction Risk: High , Gaithersburg

Tract 24031700822 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,684 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 8.3/10, tract 24031700822 in the Orchard Place area of Gaithersburg, MD reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,684. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 19% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units671
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$79,183

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Orchard Place
Moderate
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 23 tracts In Gaithersburg
High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gaithersburg and the region

Centroid at 39.1384, -77.2272 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard Place scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gaithersburg
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,691 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gaithersburg
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gaithersburg
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gaithersburg
5.9

How Orchard Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orchard Place risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.3This tracttract 7008226.9Gaithersburgparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard Place

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10. At $1,691 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Gaithersburg commands. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $79,183.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700822

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700822?

Census tract 24031700822 in the Orchard Place neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031700822?

Median gross rent is $1,691/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700822?

15.4% of residents in tract 24031700822 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,684.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700822?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 46th, minority 79th, housing 44th.
Q5

Is tract 24031700822 considered part of Orchard Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700822 fall within Orchard Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031700822 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031700822 compare to Gaithersburg overall?

Tract 24031700822 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Gaithersburg at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gaithersburg

Top eight tracts in Gaithersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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