Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
North Potomac Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forest Heights
Tract 24033801404 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 5,826 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 24033801404 covers part of the North Potomac Vista area of National Harbor, MD, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,826 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,804
Renter share40.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$118,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest Heights and the region
Centroid at 38.7909, -77.0223 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Potomac Vista scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forest Heights
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,334 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Heights
3.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Heights
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Heights
3.7
How North Potomac Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 106Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2016)
- 74Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 825% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within North Potomac Vista. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 11.3%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Potomac Vista
30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Prince George's County average of 45.6%. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 9.1/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 9/10.
Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 106 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.4/10.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Prince George's County average of 4.9 closely. Average gross rent is $2,334, close to the National Harbor average.
Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $118,375.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033801404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033801404?
Census tract 24033801404 in the North Potomac Vista neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033801404?
Median gross rent is $2,334/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033801404?
6.5% of residents in tract 24033801404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,826.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033801404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 14th, minority 87th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 24033801404 considered part of North Potomac Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033801404 fall within North Potomac Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033801404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 106 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033801404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.84% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033801404 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033801404 compare to Forest Heights overall?
Tract 24033801404 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Forest Heights at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Heights; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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