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Neighborhood · Forest Heights, MD

North Potomac Vista Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,349 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.1–5.2

North Potomac Vista takes in 2 census tracts of Forest Heights, MD, population 8,349. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.9/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Average gross rent is $2,280, 54% above the Forest Heights average of $1,484.

around a third of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, clearly above the Forest Heights rate of 18.2%. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.1 to 5.2, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Court records carry 144 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Severe burden reaches 11%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 10.5% of renter households. Judgments average 1.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $111,645. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
North Potomac Vista vs Forest Heights How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
30.0% +65%
Forest Heights: 18.2%
Average gross rent
$2,280 +54%
Forest Heights: $1,484
Average HH income
$111,645 +16%
Forest Heights: $96,434
Poverty rate
6.6% +8%
Forest Heights: 6.1%
Renter share
31.0% +402%
Forest Heights: 6.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Potomac Vista and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.1–5.2

Why North Potomac Vista scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
30% of income on rent · Range 3.0–3.7 across tracts
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.8 across tracts
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
31% renter households · Range 2.7–8.8 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.3–3.7 across tracts
3.6
Economic stress
6.6% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.7 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.3–5.1 across tracts
4.9
Risk score comparison

North Potomac Vista vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Potomac Vista score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9North Potomac VistNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in North Potomac Vista

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033801404 5.2 5,826 30% $2,334
24033801500 4.1 2,523 30% $2,154
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 51

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 52%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 38%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 89%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 45%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in North Potomac Vista

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 144Total filings (sum)
  • 3.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak year (2016)
  • 6.35%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Potomac Vista

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Potomac Vista

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Potomac Vista?

North Potomac Vista scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Potomac Vista compare to Forest Heights overall?

North Potomac Vista scores 0.6 points higher than Forest Heights overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 30% of income on rent vs 18% citywide. Average rent: $2,280 vs $1,484.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Potomac Vista?

Average gross rent in North Potomac eviction risk Vista is $2,280/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Potomac Vista residents are renters?

31% of North Potomac Vista households are renter-occupied (vs 6% in Forest Heights). The neighborhood has 8,349 residents.
Q5

Is North Potomac Vista a high social-vulnerability area?

North Potomac Vista sits in the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in North Potomac Vista have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Potomac Vista is census tract 24033801404 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 5.2, a spread of 1.1 points.
Q7

How safe is North Potomac Vista for landlords?

North Potomac eviction risk Vista carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Forest Heights as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of North Potomac Vista?

North Potomac Vista has 8,431 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (45.7%), Hispanic / Latino (26.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (15.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

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