Lynnfield Eviction Risk: Moderate

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

The voucher gap is 34.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8.4/10.

It sits 1.5 points below the Essex County average of 6.0. Food insecurity runs 5.5% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Against average income of $186,094, annual rent is just 17%. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.