Vinnin Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Swampscott

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. It sits 1.5 points below the Essex County average of 6.0.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.6% against 11.3% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 6.1% against 14.2% nationally.

The voucher gap is 14.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.4/10. Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $194,135, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Average gross rent is $2,246, close to the Swampscott average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.