Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Shelburne Falls Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25011041502 · Franklin County, MA · pop 3,411 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 6.3/10, tract 25011041502 in the Shelburne Falls Historic District area of Shelburne Falls, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,411. Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 0.7/10.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,604
Renter share34.4%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$80,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shelburne Falls and the region
Centroid at 42.5934, -72.7269 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shelburne Falls Historic District scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shelburne Falls
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,072 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shelburne Falls
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shelburne Falls
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shelburne Falls
7.7
How Shelburne Falls Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 53Total filings over 13 yrs
- 0.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2012)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shelburne Falls Historic District
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.
Against Franklin County at 50.0%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 53 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.7% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2012 at 1.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.0% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $80,464, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25011041502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25011041502?
Census tract 25011041502 in the Shelburne Falls Historic District neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25011041502?
Median gross rent is $1,072/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25011041502?
12.3% of residents in tract 25011041502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,411.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25011041502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 43th, minority 20th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 25011041502 considered part of Shelburne Falls Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25011041502 fall within Shelburne Falls Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25011041502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 25011041502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.96% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25011041502 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25011041502 compare to Shelburne Falls overall?
Tract 25011041502 scores 6.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Shelburne Falls at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shelburne Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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