Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Shelburne Falls Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25011041502 · Franklin County, MA · pop 3,411 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
The Shelburne Falls Historic District neighborhood of Shelburne Falls anchors census tract 25011041502, which lands at 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,072 a month while the average household earns $80,464 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 34% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,604
Renter share34.4%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate12.3%
Median income$80,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Shelburne Falls and the region
Centroid at 42.5934, -72.7269 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shelburne Falls Historic District scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Shelburne Falls
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
12.3% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,072 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Shelburne Falls
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Shelburne Falls
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Shelburne Falls
7.7
How Shelburne Falls Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 32%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 53Total filings over 13 yrs
- 0.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2012)
- 5Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 150% over the past 13 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.0%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.1%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shelburne Falls Historic District
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Shelburne Falls, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Franklin County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 53 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 1.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.9% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25011041502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25011041502?
Census tract 25011041502 in the Shelburne Falls Historic District neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25011041502?
Median gross rent is $1,072/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25011041502?
12.3% of residents in tract 25011041502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,411.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25011041502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 43th, minority 20th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 25011041502 considered part of Shelburne Falls Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25011041502 fall within Shelburne Falls Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25011041502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 53 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 25011041502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.96% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25011041502 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25011041502 compare to Shelburne Falls overall?
Tract 25011041502 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Shelburne Falls at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Shelburne Falls; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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