Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

East Arlington Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25017356100 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,569 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 25017356100 covers part of the East Arlington area of Arlington, MA, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 31% Owners 53%

Tract context

Occupied units1,421

Renter share46.9%

SVI overall0.08

Poverty rate2.1%

Median income$155,082

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 42.4027, -71.1457 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Arlington scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

2.1% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,627 rent vs county FMR

4.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

3.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

3.6

How East Arlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

5%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
66%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

16Total filings over 5 yrs
0.47%Avg annual filing rate
0.9%Peak (2015)
1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings dropped 75% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Arlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.2%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
6.6%Food insecurity
7.1%SNAP enrollment
5.0%Transit barriers
2.9%No health insurance
14.4%Frequent mental distress
19.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Arlington

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Middlesex County average of 43.0%. Average gross rent is $2,627, 26% above the Arlington average.

The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. It sits 1.3 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3.

Court records carry 16 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.9% against 11.3% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.1% against 15.2% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 0.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017356100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017356100?

Census tract 25017356100 in the East Arlington neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017356100?

Median gross rent is $2,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017356100?

2.1% of residents in tract 25017356100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,569.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017356100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 22th, minority 40th, housing 18th.

Is tract 25017356100 considered part of East Arlington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017356100 fall within East Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017356100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017356100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.47% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 25017356100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25017356100 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017356100 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 25017356100 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25017356100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org