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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,790 of 84,120 nationally

East Arlington Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25017356100 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,569 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 25017356100 sits in the East Arlington area of Arlington eviction risk, Massachusetts eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. That is riskier than roughly 32% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 33% of renter households, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,627 a month against an average household income of $155,082 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 31% Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,421
Renter share46.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$155,082

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 2 tracts In East Arlington
Very Low
Within parent city
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileBottomTop
#8 of 9 tracts In Arlington
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileBottomTop
#317 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Very Low
Within state
6 th percentile
Rank, 6th percentileBottomTop
#1,519 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 42.4027, -71.1457 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Arlington scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,627 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
3.6

How East Arlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Arlington risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 356100Arlington: 4.84.8Arlingtonparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.16.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 16Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 0.47%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.9%Peak (2015)
  • 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250173561002012: 4 filings (0.58/100 renter HHs)2013: 3 filings (0.44/100 renter HHs)2014: 2 filings (0.29/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (0.87/100 renter HHs)2016: 1 filings (0.17/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Arlington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Arlington

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 16 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 0.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 0.9% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017356100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017356100?

Census tract 25017356100 in the East Arlington neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017356100?

Median gross rent is $2,627/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017356100?

2.1% of residents in tract 25017356100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,569.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017356100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 5th, household 22th, minority 40th, housing 18th.

Q5

Is tract 25017356100 considered part of East Arlington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017356100 fall within East Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017356100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 16 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017356100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.47% of renter households, peaking at 0.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 25017356100 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

Q8

What share of households in tract 25017356100 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q9

How does tract 25017356100 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 25017356100 scores 4.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Arlington at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25017356100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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