Middlesex County, Massachusetts Eviction Risk: Elevated
35 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of Cambridge (7.1) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #7 of 14 MA counties
1.2M residents · 35 cities · 357 tracts
Middlesex County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord56.4%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Middlesex County, MA, tenants prevail in roughly 56.4% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline201dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Middlesex County, MA until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 201 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$12.2–27.8klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Middlesex County, MA costs landlords $12,229 to $27,790 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$2,22429% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Middlesex County, MA is $2,224 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 29% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters45.1%of households45.1% of occupied housing units in Middlesex County, MA are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty9.0%4.2% unemp.9.0% of Middlesex County, MA residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 4.2%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Middlesex County's average eviction risk of 6/10 spans a wide intra-county range from 4.4 in Newton to a high of 6.8 in Lowell, Framingham, Everett, and Pinehurst. Ranked 9th of 14 Massachusetts counties, with 8 counties riskier and 5 less risky.
How Middlesex County ranks in Massachusetts
Landlord guides for Massachusetts
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | Cambridge | 118,796 | 7.1 | 27.9% | $2,787 | Dem |
| 002 | Lowell | 118,368 | 6.1 | 31.1% | $1,625 | Dem |
| 003 | Newton | 89,044 | 5.6 | 27.2% | $2,370 | Dem |
| 004 | Somerville | 81,036 | 6.6 | 24.9% | $2,517 | Dem |
| 005 | Framingham | 72,399 | 5.7 | 31.6% | $2,033 | Dem |
| 006 | Malden | 65,906 | 6.1 | 30.5% | $2,204 | Dem |
| 007 | Waltham | 64,902 | 5.6 | 27.8% | $2,268 | Dem |
| 008 | Medford | 59,354 | 5.9 | 25.6% | $2,509 | Dem |
| 009 | Everett | 50,045 | 6.1 | 33.4% | $2,076 | Dem |
| 010 | Arlington | 46,350 | 5.7 | 24.0% | $2,082 | Dem |
| 011 | Woburn | 41,939 | 6.1 | 32.0% | $2,221 | Dem |
| 012 | Marlborough | 41,647 | 5.9 | 34.8% | $1,871 | Dem |
| 013 | Lexington | 34,295 | 5.5 | 30.1% | $2,891 | Dem |
| 014 | Melrose | 29,650 | 5.8 | 30.2% | $1,970 | Dem |
| 015 | Wakefield | 27,793 | 5.7 | 27.5% | $1,958 | Dem |
| 016 | Belmont | 27,175 | 5.9 | 27.4% | $2,527 | Dem |
| 017 | Burlington | 26,274 | 5.8 | 30.5% | $2,718 | Dem |
| 018 | Reading | 25,612 | 5.7 | 24.7% | $1,991 | Dem |
| 019 | Winchester | 23,406 | 5.7 | 25.9% | $2,279 | Dem |
| 020 | Stoneham | 23,355 | 5.8 | 27.4% | $2,035 | Dem |
| 021 | Wilmington | 23,336 | 5.8 | 32.1% | $2,394 | Dem |
| 022 | Hudson | 15,719 | 5.8 | 27.0% | $1,397 | Dem |
| 023 | Maynard | 10,712 | 5.9 | 28.7% | $1,800 | Dem |
| 024 | Pinehurst | 6,845 | 5.7 | 27.6% | $1,946 | Dem |
| 025 | Cochituate | 6,471 | 5.5 | 23.6% | $1,582 | Dem |
| 026 | West Concord | 5,876 | 5.7 | 29.2% | $2,675 | Dem |
| 027 | Hopkinton | 3,426 | 5.6 | 32.9% | $1,220 | Dem |
| 028 | Littleton Common | 3,289 | 5.9 | 30.2% | $2,306 | Dem |
| 029 | Ayer | 3,098 | 5.6 | 29.1% | $1,240 | Dem |
| 030 | Hanscom AFB | 2,110 | 5.5 | 41.0% | $3,408 | Dem |
| 031 | Pepperell | 1,971 | 6.0 | 35.4% | $1,139 | Dem |
| 032 | East Pepperell | 1,949 | 5.6 | 25.7% | $1,620 | Dem |
| 033 | Groton | 1,232 | 5.9 | 51.0% | $349 | Dem |
| 034 | Shirley | 1,146 | 6.0 | 29.1% | $982 | Dem |
| 035 | Townsend | 987 | 5.8 | 28.5% | $918 | Dem |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Middlesex County
Top 30 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Middlesex County carries an average eviction-risk score of 6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier and squarely in the middle third of Massachusetts counties. With 1,155,513 residents spread across 35 cities, the county is the most populous in the state, and that scale brings real variation: scores across its municipalities run from 5.5 to 7.1 out of 10. The average renter pays $2,224 per month, and renters make up 45.1% of all households, so the landlord base here is large but operating under measurably elevated pressure. Among Massachusetts eviction laws counties, 8 score higher (more landlord-adverse) and 5 score lower, putting Middlesex closer to the challenging end of the statewide spectrum than most investors might expect from its reputation.
The rent-burden average of 28.9% of income, combined with a 9% poverty rate, signals a tenant pool where cash-flow disruptions can escalate quickly. That dynamic does not make Middlesex unworkable, but it does mean underwriting should account for a realistic probability of contested proceedings rather than the simplest-case timeline.
The cities inside Middlesex County
Risk is genuinely hyper-local here. Lowell (population 118,368) and Framingham (population 72,399) each score 5.7/10, the highest in the county and tied with Everett and Pinehurst at that ceiling. Shirley scores 6.6, and Marlborough and Townsend each come in at 6.3. These cities concentrate the eviction-filing activity and tenant-protection pressure that pull the county average upward. Lowell eviction risk in particular, with its high renter share and economic vulnerability, has historically driven a disproportionate share of the county's Housing Court caseload.
The picture softens considerably at the other end. Newton (population 89,044) scores 5.6/10, the lowest in the county, while Somerville scores 4.6. Cambridge (population 118,796) sits at 5.8. Investors focused on lower-risk, higher-income submarkets will find meaningfully different operating conditions in those cities compared to the county's high-risk tier, even though all fall under the same Massachusetts state statutes.
State-level laws that apply here
Under Massachusetts General Laws Chapter 186, landlords must serve a 14-day notice for nonpayment of rent (whether tenancy at will or fixed-term lease), a 7-day notice for a material lease violation, and a 30-day notice to terminate a tenancy at will without cause. Massachusetts does not require just cause to end a tenancy at will, and there is no statewide rent cap or rent-control preemption statute currently in force at the state level, though local ordinances can and do apply. For a full walkthrough of what comes after the notice period, see the Massachusetts eviction process guide.
Once a case reaches Housing Court, landlords face a court filing fee of $195 to $295, a sheriff or constable lockout fee of $75 to $200, and attorney fees typically ranging from $750 to $3,500. An uncontested case resolves in roughly 30 to 60 days; a contested one stretches to 90 to 180 days. Source-of-income is a protected class under Massachusetts law, administered by the Massachusetts Commission Against Discrimination, which adds another layer of exposure for landlords screening Section 8 or voucher holders. Reviewing Massachusetts eviction costs before acquiring Middlesex County assets is worth the time given those ranges.
With 45.1% of households renting and a county poverty rate of 9%, the risk profile across Middlesex County's 35 cities varies enough that city-level scores, shown in the grid above, should drive any location-specific underwriting decision.
Historical eviction filings in Middlesex County
From 2002 to 2016, eviction filings in Middlesex County increased 3%. The peak was 4,948 filings in 2011.1
- 3,8312002
- 4,948Peak (2011)
- 3,9442016
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Middlesex County compares
Among the five peer counties shown, Middlesex County's 6/10 Elevated score sits just above Barnstable County (6/10) and Norfolk County (5.4/10), while trailing Essex County (6.4/10), Bristol County (6.4/10), and Worcester County (6.6/10) by a meaningful margin. Middlesex ranks 9th of 14 Massachusetts eviction laws counties, placing it in the middle third of the state where 8 counties carry more eviction risk and 5 are more landlord-friendly.