Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Kensington Park Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington
Tract 25017356703 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,103 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 25017356703 covers part of the Kensington Park Historic District area of Arlington, MA, and scores 5.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,103. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Middlesex County average of 43.0%.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,475
Renter share40.6%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$135,240
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Arlington and the region
Centroid at 42.4095, -71.1575 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kensington Park Historic District scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Arlington
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,140 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arlington
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arlington
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arlington
3.6
How Kensington Park Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 44%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 7%Grade A
- 29%Grade B
- 11%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Kensington Park Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.8%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.9%Food insecurity
- 6.7%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 2.3%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kensington Park Historic District
Average gross rent is $1,140, 45% below the Arlington average. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Food insecurity runs 5.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 5.8% against 14.2% nationally. 8% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.5/10.
Rent consumes only 10% of average household income of $135,240, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Middlesex County average of 6.3 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017356703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017356703?
Census tract 25017356703 in the Kensington Park Historic District neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017356703?
Median gross rent is $1,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017356703?
11.0% of residents in tract 25017356703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,103.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017356703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 44th, minority 37th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 25017356703 considered part of Kensington Park Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017356703 fall within Kensington Park Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25017356703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017356703 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017356703 compare to Arlington overall?
Tract 25017356703 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Arlington at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25017356703 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Arlington
Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Orvis Road Historic District
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MA
Orvis Road Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Arlington Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
Kensington Park Historic District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MA
East Arlington
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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