Neighborhood · Ranked #29,435 of 84,120 nationally

Kensington Park Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Arlington

Tract 25017356703 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,103 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

For landlords sizing up Kensington Park Historic District in Arlington, census tract 25017356703 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. On the national scale it ranks #42,431 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

65% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,140 monthly, set against $135,240 in average yearly household income, roughly 10% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 14% Owners 60%

Tract context

Occupied units1,475

Renter share40.6%

SVI overall0.39

Poverty rate11.0%

Median income$135,240

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 42.4095, -71.1575 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kensington Park Historic District scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

11.0% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,140 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

3.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

3.6

How Kensington Park Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

25%Socioeconomic
44%Household composition
37%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

7%Grade A
29%Grade B
11%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kensington Park Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.8%Housing insecurity
3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
5.9%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
2.3%No health insurance
12.2%Frequent mental distress
23.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kensington Park Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017356703

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017356703?

Census tract 25017356703 in the Kensington Park Historic District neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017356703?

Median gross rent is $1,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017356703?

11.0% of residents in tract 25017356703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,103.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017356703?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 44th, minority 37th, housing 62th.

Is tract 25017356703 considered part of Kensington Park Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017356703 fall within Kensington Park Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

Did eviction filings in tract 25017356703 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25017356703 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017356703 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 25017356703 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Arlington at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25017356703 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.