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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

North Brighton Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25017370302 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 1,896 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 6.2/10, tract 25017370302 in the North Brighton area of Middlesex County, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,896 residents. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Middlesex County average of 43.0%.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 49% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units868
Renter share69.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$95,714

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In North Brighton
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In city
Very High
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#158 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#766 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region

Centroid at 42.3637, -71.1550 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Brighton scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,172 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How North Brighton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Brighton risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.2This tracttract 3703026.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Brighton

25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.5/10.

This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Watertown. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 7.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Middlesex County average of 6.3 closely.

Average gross rent runs $2,172 a month. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $95,714.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017370302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017370302?

Census tract 25017370302 in the North Brighton neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017370302?

Median gross rent is $2,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017370302?

6.1% of residents in tract 25017370302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,896.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017370302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 93th, minority 65th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 25017370302 considered part of North Brighton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017370302 fall within North Brighton (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25017370302 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

Was tract 25017370302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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