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Neighborhood · Cambridge, MA

Central Square Eviction Risk: High

6 census tracts · pop 26,701 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9/10 · range 7.9–9.9

Central Square spans 6 census tracts of Cambridge, MA, population 26,701. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 9/10, in the High tier. Against a Cambridge baseline of 27.9%, 45% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. 23% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 7.9 to 9.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8.1/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Court records carry 626 eviction filings across its 5 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 6.6% of renter households. 4.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

The most recent observed rate, 2.1% in 2016, is well off that peak. That places it #8 of 13 neighborhoods in Cambridge.

Average gross rent runs $2,647, close to the Cambridge average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $117,165.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9
High
6 tracts · population-weighted
Central Square vs Cambridge How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.0% +61%
Cambridge: 27.9%
Average gross rent
$2,647 -5%
Cambridge: $2,787
Average HH income
$117,165 -7%
Cambridge: $126,469
Poverty rate
15.1% +21%
Cambridge: 12.5%
Renter share
71.6% +8%
Cambridge: 66.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Square and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 7.9–9.9

Why Central Square scores 9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–9.0 across tracts
8.8
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 5.1–8.5 across tracts
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.7–8.5 across tracts
8.1
Tenant organizing strength
72% renter households · Range 8.5–9.2 across tracts
8.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.9–8.0 across tracts
7.6
Economic stress
15.1% below poverty line · Range 1.7–6.9 across tracts
3.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Central Square vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central Square score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.0Central SquareNeighborhood8.9Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Central Square?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2 points from 7.9 to 9.9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in Central Square

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017353101 9.9 3,560 54% $2,602
25017359400 9.7 7,020 40% $2,566
25017353000 9.2 3,018 45% $2,786
25017353200 8.9 5,219 45% $2,673
25017353300 8.3 4,302 27% $2,832
25017368902 7.9 3,582 67% $2,474
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 46

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 37%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 13%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Square

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 626Total filings (sum)
  • 2.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak year (2014)
  • 1.94%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central Square

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Central Square

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Square?

Central Square scores 9/10 (High tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central Square compare to Cambridge overall?

Central Square scores 0.1 points higher than Cambridge overall (8.9/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $2,647 vs $2,787.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central Square?

Average gross rent in Central Square is $2,647/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central Square residents are renters?

72% of Central Square households are renter-occupied (vs 67% in Cambridge). The neighborhood has 26,701 residents.
Q5

Is Central Square a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Square sits in the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Central Square have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Square is census tract 25017353101 (score 9.9/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.9 to 9.9, a spread of 2 points.
Q7

How safe is Central Square for landlords?

Central Square carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cambridge as a whole (8.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Square?

Central Square has 26,729 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (50.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (13.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Square

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cambridge

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Square.

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