Malden Gaming District Eviction Risk: High

96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $77,004, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.3/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #5,730 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.