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Census Tract · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Marlborough Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25017321200 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 8,410

Census tract 25017321200 covers part of Marlborough, MA, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,410 residents. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 19% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,768
Renter share44.4%
SVI overall0.59
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$98,026

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Marlborough
Very Low
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#147 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#709 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,451 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Marlborough and the region

Centroid at 42.3400, -71.5291 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marlborough scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Marlborough
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,803 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Marlborough
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Marlborough
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Marlborough
6.2

How Marlborough compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marlborough risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 3212006.5Marlboroughparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 127Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2015)
  • 27Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017321200
Filings climbed 80% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Marlborough

56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Middlesex County average of 43.0%. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.6/10. The filing record is not thin: 127 evictions over 5 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2015, when 3.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Middlesex County average of 6.3 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017321200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017321200?

Census tract 25017321200 in Marlborough scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017321200?

Median gross rent is $1,803/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017321200?

3.8% of residents in tract 25017321200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,410.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017321200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 19th, minority 57th, housing 95th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017321200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 127 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017321200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.51% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25017321200 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25017321200 compare to Marlborough overall?

Tract 25017321200 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Marlborough at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Marlborough eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Marlborough

Top eight tracts in Marlborough ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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